NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU HOW
Points 70.6 75.3
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 30.0
Points From 3-Pointers 13.1 27.7
Points From Free Throws 18.1 17.6
Shooting DSU HOW
Field Goals Made 24.1 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 52.0
Field Goal % 43.7% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 42.3 29.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 12.9 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 18.1 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 23.2
Free Throw % 72.3% 76.0%
Ball Control DSU HOW
Rebounds 30.8 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.5 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.5
Turnovers 11.5 15.2
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.5
Steals 7.9 5.5
Fouls 16.4 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU HOW
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 67.4
% of Possessions with DSU HOW
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 35.1%
3 Point Attempt 15.4% 27.3%
Player Fouled 23.7% 22.7%
Turnover 15.9% 21.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU HOW
Shot Blocked 4.8% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 33.8%