NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU L-MD
Points 68.0 64.6
Total Points   132.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 12.3 24.8
Points From Free Throws 15.4 11.0
Shooting DSU L-MD
Field Goals Made 24.3 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 53.0
Field Goal % 45.3% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 29.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 12.1 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 15.4 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 17.2
Free Throw % 72.3% 64.1%
Ball Control DSU L-MD
Rebounds 31.9 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 10.4
Turnovers 10.7 14.8
Blocked Shots 1.7 1.7
Steals 8.0 6.0
Fouls 14.5 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU L-MD
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 64.9
% of Possessions with DSU L-MD
2 Point Attempt 52.9% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 15.5% 29.3%
Player Fouled 22.0% 21.0%
Turnover 15.5% 21.3%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 11.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU L-MD
Shot Blocked 3.3% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 30.7%