NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN VILL
Points 67.0 79.2
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 26.6 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 28.8
Points From Free Throws 11.6 14.5
Shooting GTWN VILL
Field Goals Made 22.9 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 55.0
Field Goal % 40.2% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 28.6 28.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 63.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 28.4 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 11.6 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 18.2
Free Throw % 72.0% 79.7%
Ball Control GTWN VILL
Rebounds 31.5 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 6.9
Turnovers 9.5 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.8
Steals 4.5 5.9
Fouls 13.9 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN VILL
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 65.5
% of Possessions with GTWN VILL
2 Point Attempt 36.9% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 36.6% 35.5%
Player Fouled 20.9% 20.7%
Turnover 14.2% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN VILL
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 23.5%