NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIU AKR
Points 66.0 75.8
Total Points   141.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 24.6
Points From Free Throws 13.3 16.5
Shooting NIU AKR
Field Goals Made 23.3 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 57.4
Field Goal % 42.0% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 13.3 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 22.6
Free Throw % 67.4% 72.9%
Ball Control NIU AKR
Rebounds 33.8 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.9
Turnovers 10.8 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.5
Steals 3.8 5.1
Fouls 16.2 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Akron

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIU AKR
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 70.8
% of Possessions with NIU AKR
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 29.4%
Player Fouled 25.0% 23.3%
Turnover 15.4% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIU AKR
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 28.3%