NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMCC NICH
Points 72.7 71.0
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 21.1
Points From Free Throws 18.8 18.9
Shooting AMCC NICH
Field Goals Made 24.4 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 50.6
Field Goal % 41.1% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 41.6 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 18.8 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 26.2 26.1
Free Throw % 71.6% 72.4%
Ball Control AMCC NICH
Rebounds 37.3 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 7.1
Turnovers 9.9 13.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.1
Steals 8.4 6.0
Fouls 18.9 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-CC

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMCC NICH
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 75.1 66.4
% of Possessions with AMCC NICH
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 24.8%
Player Fouled 23.7% 26.0%
Turnover 13.6% 18.5%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 11.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMCC NICH
Shot Blocked 8.2% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 22.1%