NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SOU MARQ
Points 56.4 80.7
Total Points   137.0
Points From 2-Pointers 27.2 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 26.6
Points From Free Throws 9.3 16.5
Shooting SOU MARQ
Field Goals Made 20.2 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 53.0
Field Goal % 37.0% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 29.4
2 Point Shooting % 41.4% 63.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 9.3 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 24.1
Free Throw % 65.3% 68.8%
Ball Control SOU MARQ
Rebounds 29.9 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 8.6
Turnovers 15.5 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.7
Steals 6.4 7.1
Fouls 17.5 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SOU MARQ
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 67.8
% of Possessions with SOU MARQ
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 36.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 29.4%
Player Fouled 17.8% 24.7%
Turnover 22.0% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SOU MARQ
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 28.9%