NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MAN CHSO
Points 66.5 67.7
Total Points   134.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 21.4
Points From Free Throws 9.5 10.9
Shooting MAN CHSO
Field Goals Made 25.7 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.6 59.1
Field Goal % 41.7% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 27.3% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 9.5 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 12.9 15.6
Free Throw % 73.2% 69.7%
Ball Control MAN CHSO
Rebounds 35.3 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 9.7
Turnovers 8.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.1
Steals 6.5 4.2
Fouls 11.7 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Manhattan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MAN CHSO
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 68.9
% of Possessions with MAN CHSO
2 Point Attempt 51.1% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 25.1%
Player Fouled 17.1% 16.8%
Turnover 12.8% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MAN CHSO
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 26.3%