NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KU TTU
Points 75.9 72.6
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 47.2 28.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 30.2
Points From Free Throws 11.6 14.3
Shooting KU TTU
Field Goals Made 29.3 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 58.8
Field Goal % 49.7% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 23.6 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.3 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 44.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 11.6 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 18.2
Free Throw % 71.4% 78.5%
Ball Control KU TTU
Rebounds 36.5 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 9.0
Turnovers 9.9 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 1.8
Steals 5.5 5.4
Fouls 13.4 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KU TTU
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 69.6
% of Possessions with KU TTU
2 Point Attempt 51.8% 39.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 33.3%
Player Fouled 18.3% 19.1%
Turnover 14.1% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken KU TTU
Shot Blocked 3.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 24.5%