NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU NJIT
Points 72.1 74.4
Total Points   146.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 26.1
Points From Free Throws 17.4 13.9
Shooting FDU NJIT
Field Goals Made 23.8 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 61.1
Field Goal % 40.9% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 26.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 17.4 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 19.3
Free Throw % 69.4% 72.1%
Ball Control FDU NJIT
Rebounds 36.8 40.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 11.6
Turnovers 10.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.2
Steals 6.5 6.1
Fouls 14.7 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: NJIT

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU NJIT
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 73.6
% of Possessions with FDU NJIT
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 30.4%
Player Fouled 23.9% 20.1%
Turnover 13.7% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU NJIT
Shot Blocked 5.3% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 30.5%