NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG DSU
Points 73.4 65.5
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 13.9
Points From Free Throws 15.5 14.9
Shooting LONG DSU
Field Goals Made 25.5 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 52.4
Field Goal % 46.0% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 4.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 13.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 15.5 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 20.6
Free Throw % 68.6% 72.3%
Ball Control LONG DSU
Rebounds 37.3 29.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 20.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 8.7
Turnovers 13.3 13.8
Blocked Shots 2.1 1.5
Steals 6.9 7.4
Fouls 16.3 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG DSU
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 65.7
% of Possessions with LONG DSU
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 17.0%
Player Fouled 23.1% 23.0%
Turnover 18.8% 19.5%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG DSU
Shot Blocked 2.8% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 39.0% 26.6%