NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAF BUCK
Points 59.7 62.7
Total Points   122.4
Points From 2-Pointers 28.8 26.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 25.1
Points From Free Throws 9.7 11.3
Shooting LAF BUCK
Field Goals Made 21.5 21.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 54.0
Field Goal % 38.0% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 13.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 29.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 9.7 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 16.0
Free Throw % 68.2% 70.3%
Ball Control LAF BUCK
Rebounds 34.7 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 8.9
Turnovers 9.4 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.6
Steals 5.9 5.5
Fouls 14.3 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAF BUCK
Total Possessions 65.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 63.5
% of Possessions with LAF BUCK
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 32.1%
Player Fouled 20.4% 21.8%
Turnover 14.4% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAF BUCK
Shot Blocked 6.8% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 25.7%