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Lafayette at Navy
Wed Feb 28, 2024
7:00pm ET
Annapolis, MD
Lafayette at Navy: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Navy by 3.5, Total Points: 131
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LAF | adv | NAVY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-18-0 | 12-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 6-12-2 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 5-9-0 | 6-7-1 | |
| Away | 8-9-0 | 6-9-1 |
Lafayette Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | St Josephs | +14.0 | L by 21 | -7.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | UCLA | +25.0 | L by 18 | +7.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | Pepperdine | +10.0 | L by 23 | -13.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Wilkes University | -- | W by 16 | -- |
| 11/24 | Away | U Penn | +10.5 | L by 2 | +8.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Monmouth | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Belmont | +8.0 | L by 10 | -2.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Drexel | +6.5 | L by 21 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Cornell | +9.0 | L by 8 | +1.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Columbia | +6.5 | L by 11 | -4.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | La Salle | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Quinnipiac | +4.5 | L by 18 | -13.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Richmond | +15.5 | L by 21 | -5.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Army | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Boston U | +5.0 | W by 8 | +13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Colgate | +14.0 | W by 5 | +19.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Navy | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Holy Cross | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Bucknell | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Loyola-MD | -2.5 | W by 26 | +23.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Boston U | -7.0 | L by 14 | -21.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | American | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Army | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Holy Cross | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Lehigh | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Loyola-MD | -9.5 | L by 15 | -24.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | American | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 02/19 | Home | Colgate | +9.0 | L by 5 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Lehigh | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Navy | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Bucknell | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Lehigh | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
Navy Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Campbell | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Temple | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | UCSD | +9.0 | L by 18 | -9.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | San Diego | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | VMI | -4.0 | W by 20 | +16.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Coppin St | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Geo Wshgtn | +11.5 | L by 2 | +9.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Quinnipiac | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Washington College | -- | W by 58 | -- |
| 12/21 | Away | Youngs St | +10.5 | L by 10 | +0.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Wm & Mary | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Boston U | -2.0 | W by 2 | 0.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Colgate | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Holy Cross | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Lafayette | +1.5 | L by 16 | -14.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Lehigh | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Army | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Bucknell | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Loyola-MD | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Lehigh | +4.0 | L by 12 | -8.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Colgate | +11.0 | L by 24 | -13.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Bucknell | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Army | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | American | -2.0 | L by 17 | -19.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Boston U | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Loyola-MD | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Holy Cross | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Lafayette | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | American | +7.5 | W by 6 | +13.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Loyola-MD | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Boston U | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| NAVY -3.5 | Open | -1.0 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4000 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Navy won the game 2463 times (61.6%).
- The team like Lafayette won the game 1537 times (38.4%).
- The team like Navy did better against the spread, going 1980-1962-58 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 614 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Lafayette did better against the spread, going 317-290-7 (52.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/28 05:58 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/28 05:44 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 04:52 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/28 04:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 03:38 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 02:29 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/28 12:11 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 11:29 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 10:23 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 09:38 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/28 09:35 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 08:50 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/28 08:13 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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