NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORAL LIP
Points 77.2 83.5
Total Points   160.7
Points From 2-Pointers 41.3 42.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 25.3
Points From Free Throws 11.8 15.5
Shooting NORAL LIP
Field Goals Made 28.7 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.7 58.8
Field Goal % 45.7% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.3 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 40.1%
Free Throws Made 11.8 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 20.0
Free Throw % 77.2% 77.5%
Ball Control NORAL LIP
Rebounds 34.2 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 6.4
Turnovers 9.2 8.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.3
Steals 3.9 4.6
Fouls 15.3 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Lipscomb

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORAL LIP
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 70.1
% of Possessions with NORAL LIP
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 26.4%
Player Fouled 17.1% 21.3%
Turnover 12.8% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORAL LIP
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 20.3%