NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA IW
Points 75.2 68.0
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 28.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 26.4
Points From Free Throws 16.8 13.0
Shooting SELA IW
Field Goals Made 24.9 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 56.8
Field Goal % 43.6% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 16.8 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 18.1
Free Throw % 74.0% 71.7%
Ball Control SELA IW
Rebounds 36.2 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 10.6
Turnovers 10.8 13.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.3
Steals 7.7 5.4
Fouls 14.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: SE Louisiana

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA IW
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 68.8
% of Possessions with SELA IW
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 35.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 33.4%
Player Fouled 21.7% 20.4%
Turnover 15.1% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA IW
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 29.0%