NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LNDNWD MORE
Points 54.9 78.2
Total Points   133.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.6 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 11.2 30.0
Points From Free Throws 14.1 14.0
Shooting LNDNWD MORE
Field Goals Made 18.5 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 52.9
Field Goal % 34.2% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.5 28.3
2 Point Shooting % 37.5% 60.5%
3 Pointers Made 3.7 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 14.7 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 25.4% 40.5%
Free Throws Made 14.1 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 19.1
Free Throw % 72.6% 73.2%
Ball Control LNDNWD MORE
Rebounds 27.4 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 19.9 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.0
Turnovers 9.7 11.2
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.8
Steals 5.3 5.3
Fouls 14.8 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Lindenwood

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LNDNWD MORE
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 65.2
% of Possessions with LNDNWD MORE
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 36.7%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 32.0%
Player Fouled 23.2% 21.9%
Turnover 14.3% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LNDNWD MORE
Shot Blocked 9.1% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 31.1%