NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TAMCOM HCU
Points 78.9 72.5
Total Points   151.4
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 42.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 12.9
Points From Free Throws 12.6 16.7
Shooting TAMCOM HCU
Field Goals Made 29.2 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 65.2 58.0
Field Goal % 44.8% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 44.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 4.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 13.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 12.6 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 26.1
Free Throw % 69.6% 64.1%
Ball Control TAMCOM HCU
Rebounds 34.8 41.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 11.7
Turnovers 8.5 13.5
Blocked Shots 6.3 2.3
Steals 8.4 4.1
Fouls 15.8 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Hsn Christian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TAMCOM HCU
Total Possessions 75.3
Effective Scoring Chances 76.1 73.5
% of Possessions with TAMCOM HCU
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 14.8%
Player Fouled 16.0% 21.0%
Turnover 11.3% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TAMCOM HCU
Shot Blocked 4.0% 9.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 31.5%