NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA AMCC
Points 65.2 70.5
Total Points   135.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.0 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 20.0
Points From Free Throws 16.8 13.9
Shooting SELA AMCC
Field Goals Made 21.0 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 49.9 59.7
Field Goal % 42.0% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.1 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 16.8 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 19.4
Free Throw % 74.0% 71.6%
Ball Control SELA AMCC
Rebounds 34.1 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 11.8
Turnovers 14.3 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.6
Steals 6.0 8.0
Fouls 14.9 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-CC

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA AMCC
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 64.2 72.1
% of Possessions with SELA AMCC
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 26.4%
Player Fouled 24.6% 21.2%
Turnover 20.3% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA AMCC
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 31.3%