NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA TAMCOM
Points 70.7 66.3
Total Points   137.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 25.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 29.1
Points From Free Throws 16.1 11.6
Shooting SELA TAMCOM
Field Goals Made 24.0 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 59.0
Field Goal % 43.5% 38.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 12.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 26.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 32.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 16.1 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 16.7
Free Throw % 74.0% 69.6%
Ball Control SELA TAMCOM
Rebounds 41.8 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 30.9 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.4
Turnovers 13.1 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.9
Steals 5.3 7.0
Fouls 13.3 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: SE Louisiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA TAMCOM
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 69.3
% of Possessions with SELA TAMCOM
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 33.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 40.3%
Player Fouled 20.4% 18.7%
Turnover 18.5% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA TAMCOM
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 21.3%