NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LMU UNLV
Points 65.7 74.9
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 43.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 17.7
Points From Free Throws 10.9 14.0
Shooting LMU UNLV
Field Goals Made 23.6 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 56.8
Field Goal % 40.5% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 10.9 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 19.2
Free Throw % 73.7% 73.0%
Ball Control LMU UNLV
Rebounds 34.5 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 8.9
Turnovers 9.8 6.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.9
Steals 2.9 4.6
Fouls 14.4 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola Mymt

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LMU UNLV
Total Possessions 65.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 68.1
% of Possessions with LMU UNLV
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 52.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 22.1%
Player Fouled 18.2% 21.9%
Turnover 15.0% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 4.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LMU UNLV
Shot Blocked 8.8% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.0% 27.7%