NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LMU NEV
Points 63.2 74.8
Total Points   138.0
Points From 2-Pointers 29.1 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 18.6
Points From Free Throws 12.3 16.6
Shooting LMU NEV
Field Goals Made 21.8 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 53.6
Field Goal % 39.1% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 12.3 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 23.3
Free Throw % 73.7% 71.2%
Ball Control LMU NEV
Rebounds 33.2 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.1
Turnovers 9.8 6.4
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.0
Steals 2.5 5.1
Fouls 18.2 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola Mymt

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LMU NEV
Total Possessions 65.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 67.5
% of Possessions with LMU NEV
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 22.1%
Player Fouled 21.3% 27.6%
Turnover 14.8% 9.7%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 3.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LMU NEV
Shot Blocked 7.5% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 25.6%