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Texas at Baylor
Mon Mar 4, 2024
9:00pm ET
Waco, TX
Texas at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 7, Total Points: 145.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TEX | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-20-0 | 20-12-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-11-0 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 7-9-0 | 10-7-1 |
Texas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Incar Word | -31.0 | W by 32 | +1.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Delaware St | -32.5 | W by 27 | -5.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Rice | -20.5 | W by 16 | -4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Louisville | -17.5 | W by 1 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Connecticut | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Wyoming | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Texas St | -19.5 | W by 19 | -0.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Marquette | +8.5 | L by 21 | -12.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Hsn Christian | -33.0 | W by 27 | -6.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | LSU | -7.0 | W by 11 | +4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | TX A&M-CC | -23.5 | W by 16 | -7.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -15.5 | W by 35 | +19.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | TX-Arlington | -18.0 | W by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Cincinnati | +5.0 | W by 1 | +6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | W Virginia | -6.0 | L by 3 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | UCF | -8.5 | L by 6 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Baylor | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Oklahoma | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | BYU | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Houston | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | TX Christian | +4.5 | W by 11 | +15.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Iowa St | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | W Virginia | -13.0 | W by 36 | +23.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Houston | +10.0 | L by 21 | -11.0 |
| 02/19 | Home | Kansas St | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 19 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Texas Tech | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Oklahoma St | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | Baylor | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Oklahoma | -5.5 | W by 14 | +8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Kansas St | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Colorado St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Tennessee | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| BAY -7.0 | Open | -7.0 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3374 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 2529 times (75.0%).
- The team like Texas won the game 845 times (25.0%).
- The team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 1663-1632-79 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4005 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 1970-1961-74 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.0 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -7.0 | -6.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/04 08:35 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 07:56 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 07:47 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 07:20 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:38 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 05:38 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 05:30 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/04 04:53 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 04:05 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 03:35 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 03:29 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 02:41 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 01:41 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 01:38 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 12:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 12:37 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 12:10 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 11:40 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 11:18 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/04 10:10 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 09:28 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 09:10 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/04 08:40 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/04 08:34 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 08:32 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/04 01:40 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 09:25 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 08:40 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 05:14 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 05:12 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/03 01:29 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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