NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAU IW
Points 76.4 70.6
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 37.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 16.1
Points From Free Throws 15.6 17.2
Shooting NAU IW
Field Goals Made 26.7 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 57.0
Field Goal % 45.7% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 29.1%
Free Throws Made 15.6 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 23.9
Free Throw % 69.2% 71.7%
Ball Control NAU IW
Rebounds 34.3 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 11.2
Turnovers 10.1 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.2
Steals 6.0 6.0
Fouls 16.3 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Incar Word

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAU IW
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 72.0
% of Possessions with NAU IW
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 21.4%
Player Fouled 23.0% 22.2%
Turnover 13.8% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAU IW
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 30.5%