NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFA WYO
Points 72.4 74.1
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 30.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 23.1
Points From Free Throws 15.1 20.5
Shooting SFA WYO
Field Goals Made 25.3 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 48.5
Field Goal % 44.6% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 41.2%
Free Throws Made 15.1 20.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 27.2
Free Throw % 70.3% 75.2%
Ball Control SFA WYO
Rebounds 32.5 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.3 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 8.1
Turnovers 12.5 14.7
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.4
Steals 8.8 5.5
Fouls 21.0 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFA WYO
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 65.3
% of Possessions with SFA WYO
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 36.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 23.0%
Player Fouled 23.0% 29.2%
Turnover 17.4% 20.4%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 12.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFA WYO
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 27.6%