NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PFW WRST
Points 84.7 84.4
Total Points   169.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.9 49.2
Points From 3-Pointers 31.8 19.3
Points From Free Throws 12.1 15.9
Shooting PFW WRST
Field Goals Made 31.0 31.0
Field Goals Attempted 63.5 56.9
Field Goal % 48.9% 54.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 24.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 60.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.7 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 12.1 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 21.1
Free Throw % 71.8% 75.6%
Ball Control PFW WRST
Rebounds 28.9 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 7.1
Turnovers 10.1 13.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.1
Steals 8.9 5.4
Fouls 16.5 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wright St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PFW WRST
Total Possessions 76.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 69.8
% of Possessions with PFW WRST
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 19.1%
Player Fouled 17.6% 21.6%
Turnover 13.2% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 11.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PFW WRST
Shot Blocked 3.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 24.7%