NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA UVU
Points 72.9 66.8
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 14.8
Points From Free Throws 17.4 16.6
Shooting UTA UVU
Field Goals Made 23.8 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 56.1
Field Goal % 42.9% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 29.0%
Free Throws Made 17.4 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 25.4
Free Throw % 73.6% 65.3%
Ball Control UTA UVU
Rebounds 38.1 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.2
Turnovers 13.7 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.5
Steals 7.1 6.7
Fouls 19.0 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: TX-Arlington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA UVU
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 71.5
% of Possessions with UTA UVU
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 19.9%
Player Fouled 24.6% 25.7%
Turnover 18.6% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA UVU
Shot Blocked 8.2% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 26.5%