NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAVY QUIN
Points 66.1 78.2
Total Points   144.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 21.5
Points From Free Throws 14.5 14.7
Shooting NAVY QUIN
Field Goals Made 22.9 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 57.4
Field Goal % 38.4% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 42.2% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 14.5 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 19.2
Free Throw % 71.0% 76.5%
Ball Control NAVY QUIN
Rebounds 32.7 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 20.4 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 11.3
Turnovers 10.0 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.6
Steals 5.4 5.0
Fouls 14.5 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Quinnipiac

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAVY QUIN
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 69.8
% of Possessions with NAVY QUIN
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 25.1%
Player Fouled 22.5% 20.8%
Turnover 14.4% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAVY QUIN
Shot Blocked 8.2% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.0% 35.5%