NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTEP ORE
Points 62.8 77.6
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 16.8
Points From Free Throws 14.5 18.7
Shooting UTEP ORE
Field Goals Made 21.5 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 50.1
Field Goal % 40.1% 53.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 63.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 14.5 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 25.7
Free Throw % 68.0% 72.9%
Ball Control UTEP ORE
Rebounds 27.7 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 18.9 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 8.8
Turnovers 14.1 14.2
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.6
Steals 8.5 7.7
Fouls 19.2 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Oregon

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTEP ORE
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 66.4
% of Possessions with UTEP ORE
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 20.8%
Player Fouled 21.8% 26.7%
Turnover 19.7% 19.8%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 11.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTEP ORE
Shot Blocked 9.3% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 31.8%