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TX El Paso at Liberty
Sat Mar 2, 2024
7:00pm ET
Lynchburg, VA
TX El Paso at Liberty: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Liberty by 9, Total Points: 136.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UTEP | adv | LIB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-18-1 | 12-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 4-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Away | 5-10-1 | 5-12-0 |
TX El Paso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | McMurry | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 11/09 | Home | Univ. of Science and Arts (OK) | -- | W by 51 | -- |
| 11/13 | Home | UCSB | -2.0 | W by 13 | +11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Austin Peay | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | California | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Bradley | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Loyola Mymt | +4.0 | L by 20 | -16.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | TX A&M-CC | -13.5 | L by 4 | -17.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Western New Mexico | -- | W by 28 | -- |
| 12/09 | Away | Oregon | +13.0 | L by 22 | -9.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Abl Christian | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Norfolk St | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Wyoming | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Seattle | -1.5 | L by 12 | -13.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | N Mex State | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Chicago St | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida Intl | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Middle Tenn | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | W Kentucky | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | LA Tech | +10.5 | L by 14 | -3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Sam Hous St | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Jksnville St | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Liberty | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | N Mex State | -5.5 | W by 25 | +19.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | W Kentucky | +7.0 | L by 10 | -3.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Middle Tenn | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | LA Tech | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Sam Hous St | -2.5 | L by 11 | -13.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Jksnville St | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Liberty | +9.0 | W by 16 | +25.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Florida Intl | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Liberty | +3.5 | W by 9 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Sam Hous St | +5.0 | W by 2 | +7.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
Liberty Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mid-Atlantic Christian | -- | W by 60 | -- |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Furman | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Wichita St | -4.0 | W by 17 | +13.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Vermont | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Maryland ES | -25.0 | W by 37 | +12.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +7.5 | L by 25 | -17.5 |
| 12/01 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Miss Val St | -30.5 | W by 35 | +4.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Grd Canyon | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | TN State | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | St. Andrews Presbyterian | -- | W by 73 | -- |
| 12/20 | Away | Utah Valley | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Alabama | +9.5 | L by 45 | -35.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Boyce | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | W Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Jksnville St | -11.0 | L by 10 | -21.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | LA Tech | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Florida Intl | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Sam Hous St | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Jksnville St | -5.5 | L by 11 | -16.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | N Mex State | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | TX El Paso | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Middle Tenn | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | LA Tech | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Sam Hous St | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Florida Intl | -7.5 | L by 5 | -12.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | N Mex State | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | TX El Paso | -9.0 | L by 16 | -25.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Middle Tenn | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | W Kentucky | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| LIB -9.0 | Open | -10.5 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -9.5 | Low | -9.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2651 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8 to 10 points. In these games:
- The team like Liberty won the game 2179 times (82.2%).
- The team like Texas-El Paso won the game 472 times (17.8%).
- The team like Liberty did better against the spread, going 1323-1268-60 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2085 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Texas-El Paso did better against the spread, going 1043-1004-38 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.0 | -8.5 | -- |
| Open | -10.5 | -10.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/02 07:43 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/02 06:58 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 04:53 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 02:11 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 10:38 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 10:18 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 03/02 10:16 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 08:29 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 03/01 10:39 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 10:17 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 03/01 07:40 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
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