NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTEP LIB
Points 67.7 69.7
Total Points   137.4
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 13.4 22.6
Points From Free Throws 13.6 12.2
Shooting UTEP LIB
Field Goals Made 24.8 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 49.8
Field Goal % 47.2% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 28.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 61.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.6 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 13.6 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 18.8
Free Throw % 68.0% 64.5%
Ball Control UTEP LIB
Rebounds 29.8 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 6.5
Turnovers 12.8 15.1
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.5
Steals 9.0 5.3
Fouls 17.5 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: TX El Paso

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTEP LIB
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 61.6
% of Possessions with UTEP LIB
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 36.3%
3 Point Attempt 18.6% 27.7%
Player Fouled 23.0% 24.9%
Turnover 18.2% 21.6%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 12.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTEP LIB
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 22.7%