NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MASS GW
Points 80.3 73.2
Total Points   153.5
Points From 2-Pointers 43.9 31.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 24.9
Points From Free Throws 12.9 16.8
Shooting MASS GW
Field Goals Made 29.8 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 67.1 56.4
Field Goal % 44.4% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 22.0 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 43.3 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 12.9 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 22.3
Free Throw % 68.2% 75.4%
Ball Control MASS GW
Rebounds 41.3 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 8.4
Turnovers 8.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.1
Steals 6.8 5.2
Fouls 15.1 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: U Mass

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MASS GW
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 78.9 69.8
% of Possessions with MASS GW
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 39.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 28.7%
Player Fouled 18.7% 20.7%
Turnover 11.4% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MASS GW
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 35.5% 23.9%