NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAT MORE
Points 70.5 74.7
Total Points   145.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 29.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 33.5
Points From Free Throws 12.8 11.4
Shooting CHAT MORE
Field Goals Made 24.6 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 60.4
Field Goal % 43.2% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 30.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 30.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 12.8 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 15.5
Free Throw % 75.3% 73.2%
Ball Control CHAT MORE
Rebounds 34.0 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 10.7
Turnovers 9.6 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.8
Steals 5.1 5.8
Fouls 13.0 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Morehead St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAT MORE
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 70.1
% of Possessions with CHAT MORE
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 37.9%
Player Fouled 20.2% 19.1%
Turnover 14.1% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAT MORE
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 29.3%