NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU TXST
Points 68.8 71.2
Total Points   140.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 15.2
Points From Free Throws 12.2 18.8
Shooting ODU TXST
Field Goals Made 25.2 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 54.6
Field Goal % 42.6% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 14.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 12.2 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 26.7
Free Throw % 65.9% 70.3%
Ball Control ODU TXST
Rebounds 32.9 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 10.8
Turnovers 11.1 12.9
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.4
Steals 7.7 6.1
Fouls 16.9 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU TXST
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 70.9
% of Possessions with ODU TXST
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 17.2%
Player Fouled 19.6% 23.2%
Turnover 15.2% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU TXST
Shot Blocked 6.3% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 30.5%