NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ODU NE
Points 69.4 72.1
Total Points   141.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 21.8
Points From Free Throws 9.6 15.6
Shooting ODU NE
Field Goals Made 26.1 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 55.1
Field Goal % 43.5% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 9.6 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 21.2
Free Throw % 65.9% 73.5%
Ball Control ODU NE
Rebounds 30.7 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 10.7
Turnovers 9.9 12.7
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.6
Steals 7.1 5.4
Fouls 15.0 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ODU NE
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 68.4
% of Possessions with ODU NE
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 26.8%
Player Fouled 17.8% 21.3%
Turnover 14.0% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ODU NE
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 31.8%