NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SYR LOU
Points 82.1 71.5
Total Points   153.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.8 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 17.1
Points From Free Throws 17.1 13.8
Shooting SYR LOU
Field Goals Made 28.8 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 57.2
Field Goal % 52.0% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.9% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 17.1 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 18.6
Free Throw % 72.8% 74.2%
Ball Control SYR LOU
Rebounds 30.2 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 9.9
Turnovers 10.6 14.6
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.3
Steals 9.9 5.1
Fouls 15.3 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Syracuse

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SYR LOU
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 69.0
% of Possessions with SYR LOU
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 20.6%
Player Fouled 21.6% 20.7%
Turnover 14.4% 19.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 13.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SYR LOU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 29.5%