NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FUR WCU
Points 75.4 77.7
Total Points   153.1
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 44.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 22.1
Points From Free Throws 14.3 11.2
Shooting FUR WCU
Field Goals Made 26.7 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 62.4
Field Goal % 43.7% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 42.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 14.3 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 16.0
Free Throw % 72.6% 70.0%
Ball Control FUR WCU
Rebounds 34.6 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.4
Turnovers 7.6 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.1
Steals 4.9 3.5
Fouls 13.7 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FUR WCU
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 72.3
% of Possessions with FUR WCU
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 24.6%
Player Fouled 20.5% 19.0%
Turnover 10.6% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken FUR WCU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 26.4%