NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FUR ARK
Points 75.2 83.4
Total Points   158.6
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 47.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 16.3
Points From Free Throws 16.6 19.7
Shooting FUR ARK
Field Goals Made 25.0 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 57.2
Field Goal % 40.1% 51.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 23.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.8 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 16.6 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 25.7
Free Throw % 72.6% 76.5%
Ball Control FUR ARK
Rebounds 34.5 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 7.3
Turnovers 10.5 10.1
Blocked Shots 1.9 6.4
Steals 5.6 6.2
Fouls 18.8 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FUR ARK
Total Possessions 75.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 72.8
% of Possessions with FUR ARK
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 19.9%
Player Fouled 21.0% 24.9%
Turnover 13.9% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken FUR ARK
Shot Blocked 11.4% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 23.1%