NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FUR PRIN
Points 75.1 80.3
Total Points   155.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 28.3 27.8
Points From Free Throws 10.5 13.4
Shooting FUR PRIN
Field Goals Made 27.5 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 58.1
Field Goal % 47.0% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 29.7 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 61.0% 62.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 10.5 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 17.1
Free Throw % 72.6% 78.3%
Ball Control FUR PRIN
Rebounds 33.5 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 6.0
Turnovers 9.6 7.2
Blocked Shots 2.0 1.3
Steals 4.2 5.4
Fouls 15.5 11.9

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FUR PRIN
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 68.2
% of Possessions with FUR PRIN
2 Point Attempt 38.0% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 37.1% 35.0%
Player Fouled 17.2% 22.3%
Turnover 13.8% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken FUR PRIN
Shot Blocked 2.3% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 19.2%