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WI-Milwkee at UC Davis
Sat Dec 9, 2023
5:00pm ET
Davis, CA
WI-Milwkee at UC Davis: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: UC Davis by 9, Total Points: 152.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MILW | adv | UCD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-18-0 | 17-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-13-0 | 13-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 7-7-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 8-11-0 | 10-7-0 |
WI-Milwkee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Wisconsin-Stout | -- | W by 18 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Providence | +13.5 | L by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Colorado | +18.5 | L by 27 | -8.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Luther College | -- | W by 29 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Stetson | -4.0 | L by 18 | -22.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Siena | -11.5 | W by 2 | -9.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | S Mississippi | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | WI-Grn Bay | -3.0 | L by 12 | -15.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | St. Thomas | +5.5 | L by 4 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | UC Davis | +9.0 | W by 2 | +11.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Longwood | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Chattanooga | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Rob Morris | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Wright St | +4.0 | W by 8 | +12.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Oakland | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Detroit | -8.0 | W by 23 | +15.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Cleveland St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | N Kentucky | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wright St | +8.5 | L by 14 | -5.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 16 | +4.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Oakland | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | IPFW | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | IUPUI | -18.5 | W by 20 | +1.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Youngs St | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Rob Morris | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Cleveland St | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | N Kentucky | -2.5 | W by 1 | -1.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Youngs St | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | IPFW | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | IUPUI | -12.5 | W by 5 | -7.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -6.5 | W by 21 | +14.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | WI-Grn Bay | (Pick) | W by 11 | +11.0 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | N Kentucky | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Oakland | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
UC Davis Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | William Jessup | -4.5 | W by 35 | +30.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Pepperdine | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | Montana | +2.5 | L by 13 | -10.5 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | N Dakota St | -4.5 | W by 15 | +10.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Sac State | -8.5 | L by 6 | -14.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Oregon St | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Nevada | +14.0 | L by 12 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | WI-Milwkee | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Pacific | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Montana | -1.5 | L by 12 | -13.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | UC Merced | -- | W by 23 | -- |
| 12/28 | Home | UCSB | +2.5 | W by 14 | +16.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Cal Poly | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | UC Riverside | +2.5 | W by 20 | +22.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | UC Irvine | +9.0 | L by 3 | +6.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Cal St Nrdge | -5.0 | W by 20 | +15.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | CS Fullerton | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | UC Irvine | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | UCSD | -3.5 | L by 33 | -36.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | UCSB | +3.5 | W by 10 | +13.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Cal Poly | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | CS Fullerton | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Hawaii | +2.0 | L by 17 | -15.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Lg Beach St | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | UC Riverside | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Cal St Nrdge | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | CS Bakersfld | -3.0 | L by 19 | -22.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Hawaii | -4.0 | W by 12 | +8.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | UCSD | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Lg Beach St | +2.5 | W by 10 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Hawaii | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Lg Beach St | -1.5 | L by 4 | -5.5 |
| UCD -9.0 | Open | -7.0 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -8.5 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2437 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8 to 10 points. In these games:
- The team like UC Davis won the game 2004 times (82.2%).
- The team like Milwaukee won the game 433 times (17.8%).
- The team like UC Davis did better against the spread, going 1210-1172-55 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1095 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Milwaukee did better against the spread, going 538-532-25 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.0 | -8.5 | -- |
| Open | -8.0 | -8.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/09 04:55 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 04:23 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 03:49 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:07 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 12/09 09:05 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:55 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:26 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 03:35 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:14 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:16 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 09:17 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 12/08 08:14 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:56 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:02 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
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