NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PITT BC
Points 75.3 68.6
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 30.4 22.8
Points From Free Throws 12.1 10.8
Shooting PITT BC
Field Goals Made 26.5 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 57.5
Field Goal % 43.4% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.6 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 12.1 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 14.5
Free Throw % 73.0% 74.4%
Ball Control PITT BC
Rebounds 37.1 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 7.2
Turnovers 7.0 9.1
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.0
Steals 5.6 3.9
Fouls 13.0 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Boston Col

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PITT BC
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 65.6
% of Possessions with PITT BC
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 34.9% 30.3%
Player Fouled 20.6% 19.3%
Turnover 10.3% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PITT BC
Shot Blocked 5.4% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 21.3%