NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU KU
Points 57.2 84.6
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 51.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 17.9
Points From Free Throws 10.5 15.8
Shooting EIU KU
Field Goals Made 20.2 31.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 53.6
Field Goal % 33.3% 58.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 25.5
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 34.2% 67.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 16.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 10.5 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 22.1
Free Throw % 73.7% 71.4%
Ball Control EIU KU
Rebounds 26.9 40.9
Rebounds - Defensive 18.7 33.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 7.2
Turnovers 9.8 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.9
Steals 6.3 5.7
Fouls 16.6 11.2

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU KU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 67.1
% of Possessions with EIU KU
2 Point Attempt 51.0% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 20.4%
Player Fouled 15.9% 23.6%
Turnover 14.0% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU KU
Shot Blocked 9.2% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 27.8%