NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HP UNF
Points 83.2 75.8
Total Points   159.0
Points From 2-Pointers 43.3 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 28.5
Points From Free Throws 21.4 14.7
Shooting HP UNF
Field Goals Made 27.8 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 58.3
Field Goal % 46.5% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.7 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 21.4 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 27.4 19.0
Free Throw % 77.9% 77.2%
Ball Control HP UNF
Rebounds 41.3 28.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 6.8
Turnovers 8.4 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.3
Steals 4.8 3.8
Fouls 14.7 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: High Point

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HP UNF
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 76.5 69.5
% of Possessions with HP UNF
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 33.3%
Player Fouled 24.4% 20.5%
Turnover 11.7% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken HP UNF
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 37.9% 19.5%