NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GMU FOR
Points 68.8 64.0
Total Points   132.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 26.1
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 25.2
Points From Free Throws 19.7 12.8
Shooting GMU FOR
Field Goals Made 21.9 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 47.9 58.1
Field Goal % 45.7% 36.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 13.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 41.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 14.9 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 19.7 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 19.0
Free Throw % 74.1% 67.2%
Ball Control GMU FOR
Rebounds 35.6 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 21.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 12.4
Turnovers 12.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 5.6
Steals 4.8 7.4
Fouls 15.2 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Fordham

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GMU FOR
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 63.4 70.4
% of Possessions with GMU FOR
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 19.0% 32.8%
Player Fouled 28.1% 22.3%
Turnover 18.7% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken GMU FOR
Shot Blocked 9.8% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 30.8%