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Geo Mason at Toledo
Sat Dec 2, 2023
7:00pm ET
Toledo, OH
Geo Mason at Toledo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 4.5, Total Points: 145.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | GMU | adv | TOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-13-1 | 15-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 9-6-1 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 8-7-0 | 8-9-0 |
Geo Mason Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Monmouth | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Austin Peay | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Cornell | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Charlotte | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | S Dakota St | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | E Carolina | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | NJIT | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Toledo | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Tennessee | +15.5 | L by 21 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Loyola-MD | -14.0 | W by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Bridgewater (VA) | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/22 | Away | Tulane | +4.0 | W by 3 | +7.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC A&T | -20.5 | W by 25 | +4.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | La Salle | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Saint Louis | -9.5 | W by 12 | +2.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | VCU | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Richmond | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Geo Wshgtn | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | St Bonavent | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Rhode Island | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | St Josephs | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | U Mass | +4.5 | L by 1 | +3.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Loyola-Chi | -4.0 | L by 6 | -10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Davidson | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Dayton | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Loyola-Chi | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Fordham | -2.0 | L by 1 | -3.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Duquesne | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Rhode Island | -3.5 | W by 18 | +14.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Richmond | -2.0 | W by 18 | +16.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | St Josephs | -1.0 | L by 7 | -8.0 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | -6.5 | L by 26 | -32.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | -15.5 | L by 3 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 34 | +32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| TOL -4.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3541 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 2323 times (65.6%).
- The team like George Mason won the game 1218 times (34.4%).
- The team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 1764-1724-53 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 560 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like George Mason did better against the spread, going 285-269-6 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/02 11:35 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/02 12:08 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/01 10:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/01 09:28 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
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