NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SPU DUQ
Points 57.0 66.1
Total Points   123.1
Points From 2-Pointers 27.4 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 14.2 17.7
Points From Free Throws 15.3 17.0
Shooting SPU DUQ
Field Goals Made 18.5 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 50.0
Field Goal % 35.4% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 37.7% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 15.3 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 23.2
Free Throw % 71.2% 73.4%
Ball Control SPU DUQ
Rebounds 33.9 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.2
Turnovers 12.4 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.3
Steals 5.9 6.6
Fouls 18.0 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SPU DUQ
Total Possessions 66.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 63.9
% of Possessions with SPU DUQ
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 23.4%
Player Fouled 24.2% 27.2%
Turnover 18.6% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SPU DUQ
Shot Blocked 10.8% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 29.0%