NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YSU RMU
Points 79.9 69.6
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 27.0
Points From Free Throws 16.1 11.5
Shooting YSU RMU
Field Goals Made 27.8 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 63.1 63.0
Field Goal % 44.1% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 42.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 16.1 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 16.5
Free Throw % 75.3% 69.8%
Ball Control YSU RMU
Rebounds 40.8 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 12.1
Turnovers 8.4 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.6
Steals 5.6 4.0
Fouls 13.2 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Rob Morris

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YSU RMU
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 76.3 73.3
% of Possessions with YSU RMU
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 30.5%
Player Fouled 21.9% 18.2%
Turnover 11.6% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken YSU RMU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 29.7%