NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ELON RAD
Points 69.1 75.6
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 26.7 24.9
Points From Free Throws 12.5 10.4
Shooting ELON RAD
Field Goals Made 23.8 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 60.2
Field Goal % 41.3% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 30.3 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 12.5 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 14.1
Free Throw % 68.8% 73.7%
Ball Control ELON RAD
Rebounds 33.8 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 11.7
Turnovers 9.5 9.0
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.6
Steals 4.3 4.8
Fouls 11.8 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ELON RAD
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 69.5
% of Possessions with ELON RAD
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 28.2%
Player Fouled 21.3% 17.6%
Turnover 14.2% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ELON RAD
Shot Blocked 6.0% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.6% 34.6%