NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PORT NDSU
Points 76.5 78.6
Total Points   155.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 32.6
Points From Free Throws 11.0 9.3
Shooting PORT NDSU
Field Goals Made 28.5 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 59.7
Field Goal % 49.7% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 41.1%
Free Throws Made 11.0 9.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 12.6
Free Throw % 70.9% 74.1%
Ball Control PORT NDSU
Rebounds 32.0 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 6.7
Turnovers 8.4 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.2
Steals 3.6 3.5
Fouls 12.8 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: N Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PORT NDSU
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 67.1
% of Possessions with PORT NDSU
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 34.6%
Player Fouled 20.6% 18.6%
Turnover 12.2% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PORT NDSU
Shot Blocked 2.0% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 20.8%