NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PORT UND
Points 71.5 75.9
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 33.4
Points From Free Throws 11.0 9.9
Shooting PORT UND
Field Goals Made 26.2 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 63.3
Field Goal % 45.5% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 31.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 11.0 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 13.8
Free Throw % 70.9% 71.7%
Ball Control PORT UND
Rebounds 35.3 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 10.1
Turnovers 9.7 7.3
Blocked Shots 1.6 2.8
Steals 3.7 5.6
Fouls 13.0 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PORT UND
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 72.1
% of Possessions with PORT UND
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 39.3%
Player Fouled 20.8% 18.8%
Turnover 14.0% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PORT UND
Shot Blocked 4.4% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 26.4%