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Denver at St. Thomas
Sat Mar 2, 2024
8:00pm ET
Saint Paul, MN
Denver at St. Thomas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: St. Thomas (MN) by 8.5, Total Points: 156.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | STT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-14-2 | 17-12-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 9-8-1 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-1-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 5-5-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| Away | 9-9-2 | 11-7-1 |
Denver Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | UCSD | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Cal Poly | -10.0 | W by 21 | +11.0 |
| 11/15 | Neutral | Nicholls | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | SIU Edward | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | S Alabama | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Colorado Christian | -- | W by 32 | -- |
| 11/26 | Away | TX A&M-Com | +3.5 | W by 10 | +13.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Idaho | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Colorado College | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/06 | Away | Colorado St | +20.5 | L by 10 | +10.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | BYU | +26.5 | L by 16 | +10.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Adams St. | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 12/20 | Home | Northern New Mexico | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 12/29 | Away | Neb Omaha | -1.0 | W by 15 | +14.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Oral Roberts | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Idaho St | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | N Colorado | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Dakota St | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | N Dakota St | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | North Dakota | +1.5 | L by 14 | -12.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | South Dakota | -8.5 | W by 1 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Neb Omaha | -5.5 | L by 19 | -24.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Kansas City | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Oral Roberts | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | South Dakota | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | St. Thomas | +2.5 | W by 17 | +19.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | North Dakota | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | N Dakota St | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | S Dakota St | +9.0 | L by 27 | -18.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Kansas City | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | St. Thomas | +8.5 | L by 25 | -16.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Kansas City | +5.5 | W by 1 | +6.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Neb Omaha | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | S Dakota St | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
St. Thomas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | California | +9.0 | L by 5 | +4.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Idaho St | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | North Central | -- | W by 46 | -- |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Cal Poly | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Cal Baptist | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Portland St | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | WI-Grn Bay | -5.0 | L by 13 | -18.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | W Michigan | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | WI-Milwkee | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Chicago St | -3.0 | W by 16 | +13.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Marquette | +23.5 | L by 5 | +18.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Crown College | -- | W by 19 | -- |
| 12/21 | Home | Wisconsin-River Falls | -- | W by 53 | -- |
| 12/29 | Away | North Dakota | +2.5 | W by 25 | +27.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Kansas City | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Idaho | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Sac State | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | S Dakota St | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Oral Roberts | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | South Dakota | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | N Dakota St | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | North Dakota | -8.5 | L by 10 | -18.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Neb Omaha | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Kansas City | -2.0 | W by 15 | +13.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Oral Roberts | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Denver | -2.5 | L by 17 | -19.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | South Dakota | -14.0 | W by 3 | -11.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | N Dakota St | -1.5 | L by 14 | -15.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | S Dakota St | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Neb Omaha | -7.5 | W by 27 | +19.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Denver | -8.5 | W by 25 | +16.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | N Dakota St | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | S Dakota St | +3.0 | L by 10 | -7.0 |
| STT -8.5 | Open | -9.0 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -9.0 | Low | -8.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2875 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7.5 to 9.5 points. In these games:
- The team like St. Thomas (MN) won the game 2307 times (80.2%).
- The team like Denver won the game 568 times (19.8%).
- The team like St. Thomas (MN) did better against the spread, going 1452-1378-45 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5144 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like St. Thomas (MN) did better against the spread, going 2534-2507-103 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.5 | -8.5 | -- |
| Open | -9.0 | -9.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/02 07:20 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 06:12 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 08:14 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 10:53 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/01 10:47 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 08:52 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 03/01 08:31 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
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