NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN STT
Points 72.1 79.1
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 27.0
Points From Free Throws 12.4 13.4
Shooting DEN STT
Field Goals Made 25.7 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 56.0
Field Goal % 46.7% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 59.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 12.4 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 18.6
Free Throw % 70.7% 71.9%
Ball Control DEN STT
Rebounds 30.9 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 6.7
Turnovers 10.0 8.5
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.2
Steals 4.8 4.8
Fouls 15.9 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN STT
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 66.8
% of Possessions with DEN STT
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 30.5%
Player Fouled 22.6% 23.1%
Turnover 14.6% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN STT
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 21.9%